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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.92vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.04vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.51+2.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.06+0.58vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14-0.59vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.58vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91-2.13vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.63-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92U. S. Naval Academy2.880.3%1st Place
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4.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.52Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Naval Academy2.060.1%1st Place
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4.41Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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4.87Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.24Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 27.3% | 23.1% | 18.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 13.7% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 26.9% |
| Sean Linden | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 10.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Jessica Bennett | 12.7% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 15.8% |
| Jack Hogan | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.