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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+3.53vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+1.37vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.51+0.97vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.90vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-2.05vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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3.37Old Dominion University1.910.2%1st Place
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3.97Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.2%1st Place
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2.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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3.09Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Cutting | 6.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 42.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 16.3% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 12.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 24.5% | 22.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 20.4% | 18.7% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 13.4% | 7.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 24.1% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 8.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 21.6% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.