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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.15vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.78vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+1.48vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.51-0.03vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91-1.50vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.2%1st Place
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2.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.3%1st Place
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4.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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3.97Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.5Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.12Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bennett | 19.2% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 8.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 27.1% | 22.4% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
| Hunter Cutting | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 20.4% | 39.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 11.2% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 21.0% | 23.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 14.3% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 14.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 20.1% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.