Race 6A

stony-brook-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Calvin Marsh 20.1% 17.5% 18.0% 13.9% 13.8% 10.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.2%
James Owen 21.1% 18.6% 17.4% 16.4% 11.6% 9.5% 4.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Tucker Ballou 8.8% 9.3% 11.2% 12.2% 15.4% 16.1% 16.1% 9.3% 1.6%
Alan Becker 16.0% 17.5% 16.3% 15.3% 14.5% 10.8% 6.5% 2.4% 0.7%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.5% 3.3% 3.9% 5.0% 6.2% 8.5% 18.4% 32.0% 20.3%
Elizabeth Frost 15.9% 17.4% 14.9% 15.3% 13.1% 12.6% 7.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Alexandra Leen 3.5% 3.8% 4.1% 5.6% 7.2% 11.6% 24.6% 26.5% 13.2%
Robert Finora 11.3% 11.0% 12.6% 14.2% 16.0% 17.0% 11.8% 5.3% 0.7%
Sarra Salah 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 3.8% 6.1% 19.1% 62.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.