← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.13vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.81vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+1.48vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.14-0.92vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.91-1.50vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.51-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.2%1st Place
-
2.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.3%1st Place
-
4.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
-
3.08Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
-
3.5Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
3.99Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bennett | 19.6% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 9.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 25.8% | 23.0% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 5.4% |
| Hunter Cutting | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 20.9% | 38.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 21.2% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 6.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 14.6% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 14.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.