Race 1A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Patrick Shannon 13.2% 12.9% 11.4% 12.6% 12.3% 9.6% 7.1% 8.7% 4.8% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4%
Andrew Baird 13.0% 12.3% 12.7% 13.9% 10.0% 9.9% 8.7% 7.2% 5.6% 3.0% 1.9% 1.4% 0.4%
Kelly-Ann Arrindell 7.6% 8.9% 12.3% 9.5% 9.7% 10.1% 9.8% 9.3% 7.8% 6.3% 4.7% 3.0% 1.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 22.6% 17.7% 17.8% 11.2% 9.6% 7.9% 6.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3%
Matthew Peterson 4.8% 4.2% 4.2% 5.4% 6.9% 6.2% 6.1% 8.6% 8.4% 10.8% 12.8% 13.8% 7.8%
Mark Davies 5.5% 5.5% 5.8% 6.3% 8.8% 6.7% 8.3% 8.6% 10.6% 9.5% 9.7% 9.7% 5.0%
Max Thompson 6.4% 7.6% 6.7% 7.9% 5.7% 9.3% 8.6% 8.7% 9.0% 10.2% 8.5% 8.5% 2.9%
Joshua Paper 6.9% 8.8% 7.1% 8.2% 9.2% 8.5% 10.4% 9.1% 10.5% 8.5% 5.4% 5.4% 2.0%
Mason Wolters 4.4% 5.0% 4.8% 6.1% 5.9% 7.6% 8.4% 6.3% 11.3% 10.4% 11.8% 10.3% 7.7%
Travis Tucker 3.9% 3.4% 3.7% 3.5% 4.4% 5.0% 6.4% 8.3% 7.3% 11.4% 12.7% 13.8% 16.2%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 6.9% 7.9% 7.8% 9.2% 8.1% 11.2% 8.7% 9.6% 7.8% 9.3% 6.9% 3.8% 2.8%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.5% 4.5% 3.4% 4.8% 6.9% 5.7% 7.3% 7.1% 9.5% 9.8% 11.2% 15.4% 10.9%
William Sunkler 1.3% 1.3% 2.3% 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 4.0% 4.5% 6.0% 6.1% 11.7% 14.0% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.