Race 2A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Max Thompson 4.9% 7.4% 6.5% 6.3% 8.1% 8.9% 9.2% 7.9% 10.7% 9.5% 10.8% 5.5% 4.3%
Kelly-Ann Arrindell 9.1% 8.6% 9.6% 11.9% 9.3% 10.4% 9.2% 9.0% 8.2% 5.5% 5.7% 2.0% 1.5%
Jeffrey Hayden 2.9% 3.5% 4.6% 5.0% 7.0% 6.6% 7.4% 8.6% 9.3% 10.8% 11.3% 14.1% 8.9%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 5.9% 8.0% 7.6% 8.6% 8.2% 9.6% 9.7% 8.9% 7.2% 9.1% 8.9% 6.0% 2.3%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 23.9% 19.3% 15.7% 11.3% 10.3% 7.1% 4.9% 3.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Baird 14.7% 11.9% 12.8% 12.6% 11.2% 9.3% 8.5% 6.2% 5.3% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5%
Patrick Shannon 15.2% 11.5% 13.2% 11.7% 11.1% 8.9% 7.9% 8.2% 5.7% 3.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Joshua Paper 7.4% 8.3% 8.2% 8.6% 9.9% 8.7% 9.4% 9.6% 9.7% 7.7% 6.0% 4.5% 2.0%
Matthew Peterson 3.9% 5.0% 4.3% 4.4% 4.4% 6.7% 8.4% 7.9% 9.6% 10.4% 10.2% 13.2% 11.6%
William Sunkler 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.7% 2.1% 3.5% 2.7% 4.5% 5.0% 8.1% 9.7% 16.4% 39.2%
Mark Davies 4.7% 6.7% 6.6% 6.3% 6.7% 8.9% 8.5% 10.4% 9.5% 9.0% 9.6% 8.5% 4.6%
Travis Tucker 2.3% 3.3% 3.9% 4.0% 5.2% 4.6% 6.0% 6.3% 7.8% 10.2% 12.3% 16.9% 17.2%
Mason Wolters 3.6% 4.3% 4.6% 6.6% 6.5% 6.8% 8.2% 9.4% 9.4% 11.1% 10.3% 11.4% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.