Race 3A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 22.7% 16.8% 18.1% 12.5% 9.0% 7.4% 6.2% 3.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Andrew Baird 11.9% 14.4% 12.8% 13.4% 10.1% 9.2% 8.0% 8.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5% 1.4% 0.5%
Joshua Paper 6.2% 7.9% 7.7% 9.6% 8.5% 9.2% 9.9% 9.8% 9.1% 8.3% 6.8% 5.0% 2.0%
Patrick Shannon 13.4% 12.4% 13.1% 12.2% 11.3% 8.7% 7.7% 7.0% 6.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.5%
Kelly-Ann Arrindell 9.6% 10.2% 10.4% 11.3% 8.5% 8.9% 9.0% 10.6% 7.9% 5.1% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1%
Mason Wolters 5.5% 4.1% 5.2% 5.6% 7.5% 7.7% 7.2% 8.5% 9.7% 11.6% 10.2% 10.4% 6.8%
William Sunkler 2.4% 2.3% 2.0% 1.4% 3.1% 3.8% 3.8% 4.2% 6.0% 5.9% 10.1% 15.8% 39.2%
Travis Tucker 2.9% 4.1% 3.9% 3.2% 4.8% 4.8% 6.9% 7.5% 8.3% 9.8% 13.4% 15.3% 15.1%
Max Thompson 5.5% 6.3% 5.8% 7.3% 7.8% 9.0% 8.7% 8.5% 8.9% 10.4% 9.7% 6.5% 5.6%
Mark Davies 6.7% 4.7% 4.9% 5.6% 7.6% 8.6% 9.4% 8.2% 8.5% 10.3% 10.7% 8.0% 6.8%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 6.9% 7.7% 8.7% 7.6% 10.3% 9.7% 8.9% 8.7% 9.9% 7.6% 7.2% 4.9% 1.9%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.3% 5.0% 2.9% 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 7.0% 8.1% 8.1% 11.7% 10.8% 13.9% 11.0%
Matthew Peterson 3.0% 4.1% 4.5% 5.2% 5.3% 6.1% 7.3% 7.1% 10.0% 10.7% 12.3% 15.0% 9.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.