Race 6A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jeffrey Hayden 4.4% 3.6% 3.2% 4.9% 8.2% 7.3% 7.1% 8.6% 7.3% 11.2% 12.2% 13.4% 8.6%
Mark Davies 4.7% 5.0% 6.6% 6.5% 6.8% 7.6% 8.4% 9.3% 10.2% 10.2% 9.7% 10.1% 4.9%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 21.8% 19.5% 15.3% 12.4% 10.1% 7.1% 6.5% 3.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Patrick Shannon 12.5% 13.6% 13.7% 11.6% 11.0% 9.5% 8.9% 5.7% 5.8% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 7.1% 9.0% 6.3% 9.0% 8.4% 9.8% 7.8% 10.6% 9.1% 8.6% 6.0% 5.2% 3.1%
Andrew Baird 12.9% 14.1% 13.7% 12.2% 11.0% 7.9% 7.8% 7.0% 5.8% 3.5% 2.1% 1.8% 0.2%
Kelly-Ann Arrindell 11.0% 7.8% 11.0% 9.7% 9.8% 10.2% 9.3% 8.5% 6.4% 7.2% 6.0% 2.3% 0.8%
Joshua Paper 7.0% 7.9% 7.9% 8.6% 8.7% 9.4% 10.8% 9.0% 9.7% 7.0% 7.2% 4.9% 1.9%
Max Thompson 6.0% 5.2% 6.9% 6.3% 8.3% 8.2% 9.1% 10.1% 9.2% 9.0% 9.4% 7.3% 5.0%
Travis Tucker 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 4.6% 4.5% 5.0% 5.9% 6.5% 8.8% 10.5% 12.4% 15.5% 15.7%
Mason Wolters 4.2% 6.1% 5.5% 6.7% 5.2% 9.5% 8.0% 8.8% 9.6% 10.6% 10.2% 9.2% 6.4%
Matthew Peterson 3.6% 3.6% 4.6% 5.2% 6.1% 5.7% 6.4% 8.4% 9.1% 10.5% 12.2% 14.0% 10.6%
William Sunkler 1.5% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 1.9% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 6.5% 6.7% 10.1% 15.5% 42.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.