Race 7A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Kutschenreuter 6.0% 6.3% 6.3% 10.2% 9.3% 7.8% 9.5% 8.9% 11.3% 8.2% 8.4% 4.9% 2.9%
Gerald Williams 21.2% 18.3% 16.9% 12.2% 10.0% 6.9% 5.5% 4.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Mark Davies 3.1% 4.8% 6.3% 7.0% 7.2% 8.2% 7.9% 10.0% 8.4% 12.5% 10.5% 7.8% 6.3%
Max Thompson 4.5% 6.5% 5.8% 6.6% 7.1% 9.9% 9.7% 8.7% 10.1% 10.4% 9.0% 8.3% 3.4%
Mason Wolters 4.8% 4.5% 4.8% 6.5% 7.5% 6.9% 6.9% 8.3% 10.7% 11.3% 11.1% 10.7% 6.0%
Matthew Peterson 3.4% 3.9% 5.0% 5.1% 5.3% 6.5% 7.9% 8.8% 9.6% 10.3% 12.1% 13.6% 8.5%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 22.1% 18.4% 15.4% 12.7% 9.6% 9.0% 5.6% 3.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Baird 12.4% 12.1% 13.0% 12.2% 11.1% 10.0% 9.5% 8.9% 4.3% 3.4% 1.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Joshua Paper 7.8% 6.1% 6.4% 8.6% 9.2% 10.1% 8.5% 10.6% 9.9% 7.8% 6.5% 6.2% 2.3%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.6% 4.6% 4.3% 4.3% 5.1% 7.0% 8.1% 8.7% 9.9% 9.3% 11.8% 13.2% 10.1%
Kelly-Ann Arrindell 8.2% 10.1% 10.3% 9.6% 10.4% 11.2% 9.2% 8.7% 8.2% 7.6% 2.9% 2.2% 1.4%
Travis Tucker 1.9% 2.9% 3.6% 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 8.0% 5.9% 7.5% 9.7% 14.1% 15.5% 17.8%
William Sunkler 1.0% 1.5% 1.9% 1.7% 2.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.4% 6.1% 7.5% 10.9% 15.3% 41.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.