Race 8A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gerald Williams 20.6% 17.6% 16.6% 12.2% 10.9% 8.7% 5.3% 3.9% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.5% 4.2% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 6.5% 6.6% 8.9% 8.8% 10.2% 12.2% 13.7% 10.4%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 20.0% 19.7% 14.0% 12.7% 10.5% 9.2% 4.9% 4.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Baird 12.6% 10.4% 14.4% 12.7% 9.5% 10.3% 9.5% 7.6% 5.8% 3.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.6%
Joshua Paper 7.5% 6.4% 8.2% 10.8% 8.7% 9.4% 9.3% 9.1% 8.7% 8.6% 6.4% 5.5% 1.4%
Matthew Peterson 3.8% 4.7% 3.4% 4.7% 5.7% 6.6% 8.1% 7.7% 9.9% 11.4% 11.0% 13.1% 9.9%
Mark Davies 5.2% 5.5% 6.1% 6.6% 6.4% 7.3% 8.8% 9.4% 9.8% 10.6% 9.0% 9.3% 6.0%
Mason Wolters 3.7% 5.9% 4.6% 4.2% 7.3% 7.1% 8.5% 9.1% 10.6% 10.9% 11.9% 9.7% 6.5%
Kelly-Ann Arrindell 8.7% 8.2% 9.2% 9.4% 11.9% 9.4% 10.0% 8.4% 8.4% 6.5% 5.8% 2.9% 1.2%
William Sunkler 1.8% 1.9% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.2% 3.9% 7.0% 6.5% 10.7% 14.7% 40.8%
Max Thompson 4.5% 6.8% 8.0% 7.9% 6.6% 8.8% 10.7% 9.1% 9.1% 8.8% 9.9% 6.4% 3.4%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 5.5% 6.3% 6.8% 7.7% 9.5% 9.2% 8.5% 9.9% 9.9% 9.2% 8.0% 6.0% 3.5%
Travis Tucker 2.6% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.4% 4.7% 6.6% 8.2% 8.2% 10.6% 11.6% 17.7% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.