Race 9A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mark Davies 4.5% 4.7% 5.0% 7.2% 7.1% 8.2% 9.3% 8.2% 10.0% 10.5% 10.3% 10.4% 4.6%
Gerald Williams 19.5% 18.8% 16.0% 15.0% 8.8% 7.8% 5.3% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 20.7% 19.0% 13.2% 13.7% 11.1% 8.0% 5.9% 3.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 2.5% 3.7% 5.0% 4.8% 6.7% 6.1% 8.0% 8.3% 8.5% 11.6% 12.5% 13.0% 9.3%
Joshua Paper 6.9% 7.3% 8.4% 9.9% 8.7% 7.5% 9.2% 10.3% 9.7% 7.6% 7.3% 5.2% 2.0%
Andrew Baird 13.2% 11.5% 14.1% 11.5% 11.8% 10.0% 7.1% 7.4% 5.3% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Kelly-Ann Arrindell 9.4% 8.4% 11.5% 7.5% 9.7% 11.6% 10.6% 8.0% 8.4% 7.0% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2%
Mason Wolters 3.7% 5.8% 3.6% 4.9% 7.4% 7.9% 8.2% 9.8% 9.7% 11.2% 12.5% 9.0% 6.3%
Travis Tucker 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 3.9% 4.0% 5.0% 5.9% 7.1% 7.9% 11.4% 12.8% 15.4% 17.0%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 7.1% 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 9.4% 9.1% 9.6% 9.2% 9.9% 7.9% 7.3% 6.2% 3.3%
Max Thompson 5.2% 5.8% 8.0% 7.7% 7.3% 9.3% 10.4% 9.5% 10.0% 8.3% 7.2% 7.9% 3.4%
William Sunkler 1.1% 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.5% 2.8% 3.7% 5.1% 5.8% 7.2% 8.7% 16.2% 41.9%
Matthew Peterson 3.1% 4.0% 2.9% 4.7% 5.5% 6.7% 6.8% 9.5% 9.1% 10.6% 13.4% 12.9% 10.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.