Race 1B

stony-brook-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Eva DeCastro 31.0% 25.1% 17.9% 12.2% 7.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Sophia Dimont 5.5% 5.9% 8.5% 8.8% 10.8% 13.2% 16.6% 19.7% 11.1%
Robert Upton 15.7% 16.1% 16.4% 16.5% 12.3% 11.3% 7.1% 3.5% 1.0%
Collin Ross 7.0% 10.2% 10.2% 10.9% 14.0% 14.6% 15.0% 12.4% 5.7%
Ernest Glukhov 14.1% 14.5% 13.8% 15.4% 14.6% 13.1% 8.0% 5.0% 1.7%
Matthew McCarvill 10.1% 12.3% 12.8% 12.6% 14.2% 13.2% 12.4% 9.6% 2.6%
Griffin Jones 9.6% 8.8% 11.0% 12.4% 14.4% 14.1% 14.3% 11.2% 4.2%
Reid Chapman 5.7% 5.0% 6.9% 8.5% 9.5% 11.2% 16.9% 23.1% 13.2%
Matthew Knutson 1.3% 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 3.0% 5.4% 7.8% 14.8% 60.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.