Race 1A

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tyler Black 7.3% 9.0% 9.1% 8.9% 11.0% 9.6% 10.1% 12.5% 10.2% 6.9% 5.4%
Christopher Poole 20.5% 18.5% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Sean Andrew 12.9% 13.6% 13.4% 10.8% 11.3% 11.7% 8.7% 7.5% 5.2% 3.6% 1.3%
Tommy Holmberg 12.3% 11.8% 12.8% 11.8% 11.5% 10.6% 9.5% 7.1% 6.2% 3.8% 2.6%
Neal Drake 7.7% 7.3% 9.1% 8.4% 8.5% 7.9% 10.1% 10.6% 9.6% 11.7% 9.1%
Alejandro Bancalari 9.7% 9.8% 10.5% 10.9% 9.8% 10.4% 9.1% 9.0% 8.9% 6.9% 5.0%
Nicholas Dragone 8.6% 7.5% 8.8% 8.6% 10.5% 11.0% 9.1% 9.0% 11.4% 8.1% 7.4%
Timothy Lorenzen 5.8% 5.7% 4.5% 8.4% 8.2% 8.3% 9.8% 10.3% 9.2% 13.7% 16.1%
Wesley Yland 4.8% 4.5% 5.9% 5.7% 5.7% 7.1% 8.6% 11.2% 12.1% 14.9% 19.5%
Andrea Verdeja 5.6% 5.3% 5.3% 6.4% 7.5% 5.5% 8.9% 9.1% 12.0% 14.8% 19.6%
Molly Haley 4.8% 7.0% 6.6% 8.1% 6.0% 8.0% 10.1% 9.1% 12.4% 14.2% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.