Race 10A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Gerald Williams 20.4% 18.9% 15.2% 13.0% 9.3% 7.5% 5.9% 3.6% 2.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Kelly-Ann Arrindell 8.3% 10.3% 11.3% 7.6% 9.5% 10.8% 7.9% 7.9% 10.3% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 2.7% 0.8%
Drake Hayes 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.8% 5.3% 6.0% 5.8% 5.8% 6.8% 9.3% 10.0% 13.4% 13.0% 8.2%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 19.2% 19.2% 14.3% 13.6% 8.8% 8.0% 5.9% 5.4% 2.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Andrew Baird 9.8% 10.8% 13.0% 12.9% 11.7% 9.8% 8.4% 7.6% 5.4% 5.0% 3.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4%
Mark Davies 4.7% 3.8% 5.8% 4.6% 5.5% 7.8% 9.1% 8.4% 7.3% 10.2% 9.3% 9.5% 7.1% 6.9%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.7% 4.3% 5.2% 5.0% 6.1% 4.9% 7.6% 6.1% 9.8% 8.1% 10.9% 10.6% 10.1% 7.6%
Travis Tucker 2.8% 3.8% 2.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.5% 4.9% 5.3% 6.7% 8.9% 8.9% 12.0% 12.6% 16.8%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 6.4% 6.0% 5.3% 6.9% 8.2% 9.3% 9.6% 8.7% 9.4% 8.0% 9.7% 6.3% 4.2% 2.0%
Max Thompson 5.0% 4.5% 5.8% 6.6% 7.7% 8.2% 8.5% 8.8% 8.8% 8.0% 10.1% 8.4% 6.3% 3.3%
Joshua Paper 7.4% 4.4% 7.5% 8.4% 9.3% 8.7% 8.7% 10.4% 7.4% 6.9% 7.7% 6.3% 4.6% 2.3%
Matthew Peterson 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 4.0% 5.8% 5.6% 6.3% 8.5% 8.9% 10.6% 8.8% 10.0% 10.9% 9.9%
Mason Wolters 4.1% 4.5% 5.3% 4.6% 6.5% 6.3% 7.9% 8.4% 8.0% 9.7% 9.6% 10.3% 9.2% 5.6%
William Sunkler 1.1% 2.1% 1.2% 3.3% 1.5% 1.6% 3.5% 5.1% 6.6% 5.2% 6.2% 8.3% 18.3% 36.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.