Race 1B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jensen McTighe 7.2% 8.7% 9.7% 8.7% 9.7% 9.6% 9.1% 7.3% 7.7% 5.9% 6.1% 4.5% 3.6% 2.2%
Marian Frances Williams 12.1% 12.2% 13.1% 10.6% 10.8% 10.0% 9.3% 6.9% 5.0% 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.6%
August Sturm 6.7% 7.2% 9.0% 7.4% 6.9% 7.7% 9.1% 8.2% 8.6% 8.1% 8.4% 5.7% 4.9% 2.1%
Charles Bocklet 5.6% 7.0% 7.8% 8.7% 7.9% 8.8% 7.0% 9.9% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 5.9% 4.4% 2.9%
Charles Willard 26.7% 23.9% 14.7% 11.6% 8.9% 6.5% 3.3% 1.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Andre Guaragna 8.1% 8.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.7% 10.2% 6.9% 8.7% 7.6% 7.3% 6.1% 4.1% 3.5% 1.2%
Mitchell Powell 3.5% 4.1% 5.4% 4.0% 5.3% 5.3% 6.4% 5.7% 8.4% 9.4% 7.7% 10.4% 11.5% 12.9%
Cameron Douglas 5.0% 4.3% 5.2% 6.7% 6.4% 7.1% 6.8% 7.8% 7.3% 8.7% 8.0% 9.2% 9.5% 8.0%
Henry Keenan 4.1% 2.9% 1.8% 4.1% 4.6% 5.3% 4.1% 6.0% 10.3% 6.6% 11.0% 11.4% 12.5% 15.3%
Ryder Easterlin 5.2% 6.4% 4.9% 7.8% 8.0% 7.1% 8.5% 9.7% 7.9% 7.0% 8.8% 8.3% 7.1% 3.3%
Jessica Bennett 7.1% 5.6% 8.9% 7.7% 8.7% 7.5% 10.1% 8.7% 8.3% 6.9% 5.8% 6.3% 4.6% 3.8%
Paul Hart 3.0% 2.7% 3.2% 4.0% 3.6% 4.8% 7.2% 6.5% 5.1% 10.4% 9.4% 10.6% 11.4% 18.1%
Olivia Keefe 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 4.2% 4.4% 4.1% 5.8% 6.5% 8.7% 9.3% 7.0% 10.3% 13.2% 16.6%
Hogan O'Donnell 2.7% 3.5% 3.5% 5.3% 5.1% 6.0% 6.4% 6.3% 5.4% 8.1% 10.3% 11.6% 12.8% 13.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.