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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.09+5.93vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+4.64vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.08+3.98vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.33+2.24vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.64+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.25+0.60vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.55-4.03vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.33+1.32vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.67-0.55vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.37-0.60vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.93-3.42vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.26-2.33vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.31-3.65vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.26-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93University of Michigan2.090.1%1st Place
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6.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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6.24Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.37College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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6.6University of South Florida2.250.1%1st Place
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2.97College of Charleston3.550.3%1st Place
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9.32North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.45Eckerd College1.670.0%1st Place
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9.4Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.58Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.67Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August Sturm | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Andre Guaragna | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jensen McTighe | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Charles Willard | 30.2% | 22.9% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 15.5% |
| Cameron Douglas | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
| Mitchell Powell | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 14.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Paul Hart | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 18.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.8% |
| Olivia Keefe | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.