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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.55+2.07vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.09+4.74vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.93+4.48vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.25+2.51vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.33+1.34vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.33+3.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.31+2.21vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.67+0.31vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.64-3.67vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.08-2.89vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.37-1.62vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.12vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.26-3.43vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.26-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07College of Charleston3.550.3%1st Place
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6.74University of Michigan2.090.1%1st Place
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7.48Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.51University of South Florida2.250.1%1st Place
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6.34Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.56North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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8.31Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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5.33College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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9.38Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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9.57Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Willard | 28.9% | 23.2% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Jensen McTighe | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Andre Guaragna | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 16.1% |
| Henry Keenan | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.6% |
| Cameron Douglas | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Bocklet | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Mitchell Powell | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Paul Hart | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 16.6% |
| Olivia Keefe | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.