Race 4B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Charles Willard 28.7% 24.4% 13.9% 10.8% 7.7% 5.6% 3.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Marian Frances Williams 11.8% 13.6% 12.2% 11.4% 8.9% 10.1% 9.7% 6.6% 6.3% 3.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.6%
Charles Bocklet 6.5% 7.1% 8.8% 6.9% 8.0% 7.7% 8.5% 8.2% 9.2% 7.3% 8.8% 5.9% 4.5% 2.6%
Andre Guaragna 6.6% 8.8% 10.7% 9.8% 10.2% 9.5% 8.7% 9.0% 6.4% 5.8% 6.3% 4.6% 2.2% 1.4%
Jensen McTighe 6.3% 7.4% 9.8% 10.1% 8.7% 10.0% 8.2% 8.2% 7.1% 7.5% 6.5% 5.3% 2.4% 2.5%
Ryder Easterlin 6.2% 4.8% 5.8% 6.9% 8.1% 8.7% 7.5% 9.2% 8.4% 7.1% 7.2% 8.3% 7.1% 4.7%
Henry Keenan 3.7% 3.4% 4.6% 5.2% 5.4% 4.1% 6.0% 6.6% 6.9% 8.4% 8.5% 10.3% 12.9% 14.0%
Cameron Douglas 4.9% 4.8% 5.4% 6.7% 5.7% 6.9% 6.4% 7.2% 8.8% 8.3% 8.3% 8.7% 8.7% 9.2%
Hogan O'Donnell 3.4% 3.5% 2.8% 3.6% 5.0% 4.2% 5.2% 6.3% 7.9% 9.7% 9.9% 11.4% 11.7% 15.4%
August Sturm 6.4% 6.2% 7.8% 7.6% 9.0% 7.6% 9.6% 9.2% 7.7% 8.1% 7.6% 6.4% 4.7% 2.1%
Paul Hart 2.7% 2.4% 3.3% 3.9% 4.0% 5.1% 6.1% 6.6% 5.7% 9.6% 8.9% 9.9% 14.7% 17.1%
Jessica Bennett 6.6% 6.6% 7.6% 8.3% 8.9% 9.9% 9.3% 8.4% 8.5% 7.1% 6.2% 5.7% 4.1% 2.8%
Olivia Keefe 3.3% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 4.2% 4.7% 5.8% 5.3% 9.0% 8.8% 8.2% 10.7% 13.0% 16.3%
Mitchell Powell 2.9% 3.5% 3.7% 5.2% 6.2% 5.9% 5.1% 6.4% 7.4% 8.2% 10.1% 10.8% 13.3% 11.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.