← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.55+2.04vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+4.72vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin2.08+4.00vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley1.31+5.53vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida2.25+1.63vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.67+2.49vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University2.33-1.05vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan2.09-1.08vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University1.93-1.45vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston2.64-4.68vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.33-1.52vs Predicted
-
12Washington College1.26-2.32vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami1.26-3.46vs Predicted
-
14Florida State University1.37-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.04College of Charleston3.550.3%1st Place
-
6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
-
7.0University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
-
9.53University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
-
6.63University of South Florida2.250.1%1st Place
-
8.49Eckerd College1.670.0%1st Place
-
5.95Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.92University of Michigan2.090.1%1st Place
-
7.55Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
-
5.32College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.48North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
-
9.68Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
-
9.54University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
-
9.17Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Willard | 29.2% | 22.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Henry Keenan | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 14.8% |
| Jensen McTighe | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Douglas | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% |
| Andre Guaragna | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| August Sturm | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 15.2% |
| Paul Hart | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 17.3% |
| Olivia Keefe | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.9% |
| Mitchell Powell | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.