Race 7B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Andre Guaragna 7.9% 9.8% 11.1% 11.0% 10.2% 8.9% 8.0% 7.2% 7.7% 5.2% 5.6% 3.7% 2.5% 1.2%
August Sturm 7.3% 7.9% 8.8% 8.7% 7.9% 9.3% 9.1% 9.3% 8.2% 7.9% 6.5% 3.6% 3.6% 1.9%
Charles Willard 31.9% 21.1% 15.8% 11.0% 8.5% 5.8% 2.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jensen McTighe 6.9% 8.8% 9.3% 9.5% 9.3% 10.2% 8.4% 9.4% 6.9% 6.9% 5.2% 4.4% 3.5% 1.3%
Jessica Bennett 5.7% 6.5% 8.2% 8.6% 9.8% 9.0% 8.1% 8.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.1% 5.6% 4.0% 2.4%
Henry Keenan 3.2% 3.3% 2.9% 4.7% 3.8% 4.7% 6.4% 7.7% 6.4% 8.8% 10.2% 11.7% 10.8% 15.4%
Cameron Douglas 4.4% 5.1% 7.5% 6.0% 7.2% 7.0% 6.3% 9.7% 9.1% 8.2% 8.2% 8.3% 7.3% 5.7%
Charles Bocklet 7.3% 8.4% 7.7% 7.9% 8.2% 8.5% 9.1% 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 5.7% 6.6% 4.5% 2.5%
Marian Frances Williams 11.3% 12.8% 10.4% 12.4% 10.6% 9.9% 9.5% 7.0% 6.4% 4.1% 2.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Olivia Keefe 2.9% 2.4% 3.7% 3.2% 4.5% 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 7.1% 7.7% 9.4% 11.2% 13.0% 15.7%
Noah Rosenthal 2.8% 3.2% 2.6% 4.3% 5.0% 5.0% 6.7% 5.1% 7.3% 7.7% 11.6% 10.1% 13.5% 15.1%
Paul Hart 1.8% 3.3% 4.1% 4.0% 4.5% 5.6% 6.2% 5.7% 7.8% 9.4% 9.3% 10.6% 11.5% 16.2%
Hogan O'Donnell 3.4% 3.7% 3.9% 4.2% 4.7% 5.2% 6.0% 8.5% 7.8% 8.4% 8.3% 10.7% 12.6% 12.6%
Mitchell Powell 3.2% 3.7% 4.0% 4.5% 5.8% 5.1% 7.2% 5.9% 7.8% 9.0% 10.5% 11.1% 12.4% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.