Race 8B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jensen McTighe 7.3% 9.1% 9.6% 10.1% 9.6% 9.0% 9.0% 8.2% 7.1% 6.1% 6.0% 4.0% 3.6% 1.3%
Marian Frances Williams 12.5% 12.2% 12.9% 13.0% 9.8% 9.9% 8.5% 7.4% 5.1% 2.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.5%
Andre Guaragna 8.7% 10.5% 9.2% 8.9% 8.8% 10.5% 9.5% 8.3% 7.9% 5.3% 5.8% 3.6% 2.2% 0.8%
Jessica Bennett 5.7% 6.9% 9.0% 9.0% 9.3% 8.5% 7.5% 10.9% 7.5% 8.1% 7.1% 4.7% 3.8% 2.0%
Charles Willard 27.6% 23.9% 15.9% 10.8% 9.4% 5.7% 2.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 6.9% 5.9% 8.1% 7.1% 10.1% 9.6% 8.2% 7.8% 8.1% 7.0% 7.7% 6.1% 5.0% 2.4%
Cameron Douglas 4.8% 5.9% 6.7% 5.8% 6.4% 6.1% 9.8% 7.6% 8.0% 8.2% 8.6% 8.8% 8.2% 5.1%
Hogan O'Donnell 3.3% 4.2% 3.9% 4.9% 5.0% 5.6% 6.0% 5.9% 6.6% 9.3% 8.9% 11.6% 9.9% 14.9%
Noah Rosenthal 3.7% 3.2% 1.9% 3.5% 4.9% 4.2% 5.1% 5.3% 10.6% 7.5% 10.8% 11.2% 13.1% 15.0%
Henry Keenan 3.1% 2.8% 2.9% 3.8% 5.2% 6.5% 6.7% 5.6% 7.8% 8.1% 7.8% 12.1% 13.3% 14.3%
August Sturm 7.2% 5.7% 8.8% 8.7% 7.6% 8.9% 9.8% 9.5% 7.1% 7.3% 6.0% 5.9% 4.2% 3.3%
Olivia Keefe 2.9% 3.0% 3.3% 4.1% 4.6% 5.4% 5.9% 6.7% 7.0% 11.5% 9.2% 8.4% 11.8% 16.2%
Paul Hart 3.2% 3.1% 3.5% 5.3% 3.8% 3.5% 6.7% 6.8% 8.9% 9.3% 8.2% 10.6% 12.6% 14.5%
Mitchell Powell 3.1% 3.6% 4.3% 5.0% 5.5% 6.6% 5.1% 7.4% 7.2% 9.0% 9.9% 11.7% 11.9% 9.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.