Race 9B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Marian Frances Williams 11.1% 13.7% 13.6% 11.2% 9.9% 9.9% 7.9% 6.3% 5.5% 3.8% 3.1% 1.9% 1.6% 0.5%
Charles Willard 30.0% 22.6% 15.3% 13.6% 7.1% 5.0% 2.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 6.6% 7.0% 9.8% 7.8% 8.2% 7.0% 10.4% 9.2% 7.8% 7.5% 6.5% 6.4% 4.4% 1.4%
Andre Guaragna 7.5% 9.5% 10.2% 9.8% 9.6% 10.9% 9.4% 7.5% 8.2% 5.3% 4.6% 4.2% 2.1% 1.2%
Hogan O'Donnell 2.8% 2.8% 3.7% 4.8% 6.1% 6.0% 5.6% 5.5% 6.8% 8.9% 10.2% 10.5% 11.9% 14.4%
August Sturm 6.4% 6.8% 6.3% 9.0% 10.0% 9.3% 8.5% 8.0% 8.3% 6.5% 7.6% 6.8% 4.3% 2.2%
Henry Keenan 3.3% 3.9% 4.4% 6.0% 4.1% 6.3% 6.2% 6.9% 7.6% 7.7% 10.4% 10.0% 11.8% 11.4%
Jessica Bennett 7.0% 8.3% 9.1% 7.4% 9.8% 7.5% 8.8% 7.9% 8.3% 7.4% 6.1% 5.7% 4.1% 2.6%
Paul Hart 3.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.8% 4.7% 5.2% 4.6% 7.6% 7.5% 7.8% 10.2% 12.4% 13.4% 13.7%
Noah Rosenthal 2.8% 2.7% 2.9% 4.0% 3.7% 5.5% 6.6% 6.9% 7.0% 9.6% 7.7% 11.1% 13.3% 16.2%
Cameron Douglas 4.4% 4.7% 4.4% 5.2% 7.5% 6.6% 8.8% 7.8% 7.6% 10.0% 9.4% 8.7% 8.3% 6.6%
Olivia Keefe 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 4.6% 3.9% 5.6% 5.9% 7.8% 8.2% 9.0% 9.9% 8.0% 12.5% 15.9%
Mitchell Powell 3.9% 3.3% 4.3% 4.2% 5.6% 5.6% 5.2% 8.6% 7.9% 8.8% 9.0% 10.6% 10.5% 12.5%
Jensen McTighe 7.8% 9.2% 10.1% 8.6% 9.8% 9.6% 9.2% 8.3% 8.3% 7.5% 4.8% 3.6% 1.8% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.