Race 2A

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sean Andrew 12.4% 13.6% 14.5% 11.5% 11.4% 11.7% 9.2% 7.7% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2%
Neal Drake 7.6% 7.3% 6.6% 10.3% 8.7% 8.9% 10.8% 10.4% 11.4% 9.9% 8.1%
Christopher Poole 17.4% 17.1% 16.2% 11.6% 10.8% 9.2% 7.2% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Tommy Holmberg 12.7% 12.3% 11.1% 11.5% 12.3% 11.2% 8.8% 8.4% 5.8% 2.9% 3.0%
Alejandro Bancalari 11.5% 10.0% 9.4% 10.1% 9.4% 9.3% 10.9% 9.3% 7.7% 8.1% 4.3%
Timothy Lorenzen 4.5% 6.1% 6.5% 6.1% 6.9% 7.1% 9.0% 11.1% 11.4% 14.7% 16.6%
Tyler Black 10.2% 9.5% 9.8% 9.7% 10.2% 10.5% 9.7% 9.5% 9.0% 6.6% 5.3%
Nicholas Dragone 7.9% 8.4% 9.4% 9.5% 9.2% 9.1% 9.2% 9.5% 9.4% 10.3% 8.1%
Molly Haley 4.9% 5.7% 5.2% 6.1% 7.4% 6.9% 10.4% 9.7% 11.0% 14.7% 18.0%
Wesley Yland 5.9% 5.5% 5.0% 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 7.9% 9.9% 11.7% 15.7% 17.0%
Andrea Verdeja 5.0% 4.5% 6.3% 7.0% 6.3% 8.7% 6.9% 9.7% 14.9% 12.8% 17.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.