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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.43+1.63vs Predicted
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2Fordham University-0.26+1.77vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.45+1.04vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.99+1.18vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.30+0.88vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-1.29vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-1.45-0.97vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.87-3.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-2.58-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Columbia University0.4330.1%1st Place
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3.77Fordham University-0.2617.8%1st Place
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4.04SUNY Stony Brook-0.4513.2%1st Place
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5.18Syracuse University-0.997.8%1st Place
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5.88SUNY Stony Brook-1.306.0%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7110.0%1st Place
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6.03Hamilton College-1.454.8%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.878.5%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Military Academy-2.581.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 30.1% | 26.0% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Upton | 17.8% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Collin Ross | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 5.2% |
| Sophia Dimont | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 20.5% | 11.2% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 2.9% |
| Reid Chapman | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 22.1% | 13.5% |
| Griffin Jones | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Knutson | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.