Race 10B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Marian Frances Williams 11.6% 12.8% 12.4% 11.7% 11.2% 9.1% 8.3% 6.7% 5.1% 4.4% 2.9% 1.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Jessica Bennett 7.7% 8.4% 7.8% 9.1% 8.2% 9.8% 9.4% 8.4% 8.1% 7.6% 6.1% 4.2% 3.2% 2.0%
August Sturm 7.0% 7.5% 9.2% 7.6% 7.9% 8.6% 9.3% 6.9% 9.2% 8.1% 6.8% 6.5% 3.9% 1.5%
Charles Willard 28.9% 23.1% 14.7% 13.0% 8.3% 4.9% 3.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Hogan O'Donnell 2.3% 3.1% 4.7% 3.6% 5.6% 5.4% 6.8% 6.3% 6.5% 9.0% 8.6% 11.5% 12.3% 14.3%
Andre Guaragna 8.5% 7.5% 9.9% 11.6% 9.3% 8.4% 8.5% 9.0% 7.0% 7.3% 5.1% 3.8% 3.4% 0.7%
Charles Bocklet 7.5% 8.0% 8.2% 8.6% 8.7% 9.5% 8.6% 9.9% 7.0% 7.3% 6.5% 4.5% 3.4% 2.3%
Noah Rosenthal 2.9% 2.9% 4.7% 5.1% 3.7% 6.6% 5.1% 5.1% 6.1% 9.0% 9.7% 10.7% 11.6% 16.8%
Paul Hart 3.5% 2.6% 2.9% 3.7% 4.6% 4.7% 4.8% 8.2% 7.7% 7.9% 9.9% 11.8% 14.1% 13.6%
Cameron Douglas 4.1% 4.0% 5.1% 5.3% 7.5% 6.8% 8.5% 7.6% 9.0% 8.0% 9.7% 9.7% 8.8% 5.9%
Henry Keenan 2.7% 3.2% 3.4% 4.3% 4.2% 7.1% 5.3% 6.5% 8.1% 8.5% 9.3% 10.1% 14.4% 12.9%
Olivia Keefe 2.8% 3.3% 3.1% 3.9% 4.3% 4.8% 7.2% 6.8% 8.4% 8.0% 9.7% 10.7% 10.1% 16.9%
Mitchell Powell 3.3% 3.4% 4.3% 4.4% 5.9% 4.9% 6.0% 7.5% 9.2% 7.3% 9.8% 11.1% 10.9% 12.0%
Jensen McTighe 7.2% 10.2% 9.6% 8.1% 10.6% 9.4% 8.3% 9.3% 7.8% 7.4% 5.7% 3.3% 2.2% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.