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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+1.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+1.86vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.78+1.97vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.57+2.79vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.48-1.28vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50-2.34vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.74-1.93vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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6.79Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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3.72Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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3.66Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.07University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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5.21Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 30.3% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 14.4% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Pearson | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 10.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 16.4% | 55.6% |
| Julien Guiot | 14.8% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Jonas Nelle | 16.0% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Nate Peck | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 11.9% |
| Joey Lark | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.