Race 3A

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sean Andrew 12.6% 13.1% 13.9% 11.7% 13.0% 11.4% 8.6% 7.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2%
Tyler Black 8.9% 7.8% 10.3% 10.2% 9.5% 11.2% 10.4% 9.2% 9.3% 8.3% 4.9%
Nicholas Dragone 7.3% 6.0% 8.2% 8.0% 9.6% 9.6% 10.5% 10.1% 10.4% 11.0% 9.3%
Neal Drake 7.2% 5.6% 7.6% 9.1% 7.9% 9.6% 10.8% 11.0% 11.3% 10.5% 9.4%
Alejandro Bancalari 10.9% 10.8% 8.7% 9.9% 10.8% 9.6% 9.6% 10.0% 7.8% 7.2% 4.7%
Tommy Holmberg 12.0% 14.5% 12.4% 12.0% 11.3% 9.8% 8.3% 7.0% 5.6% 4.9% 2.2%
Timothy Lorenzen 6.4% 5.2% 6.8% 6.4% 8.9% 7.6% 9.0% 11.0% 11.5% 11.9% 15.3%
Christopher Poole 20.0% 19.3% 16.2% 10.8% 9.2% 9.1% 7.3% 4.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Molly Haley 5.0% 5.9% 4.7% 7.2% 8.2% 6.4% 9.3% 8.6% 14.2% 13.3% 17.2%
Andrea Verdeja 5.0% 5.2% 6.1% 6.7% 5.9% 7.2% 8.3% 10.6% 11.7% 14.1% 19.2%
Wesley Yland 4.7% 6.6% 5.1% 8.0% 5.7% 8.5% 7.9% 10.4% 11.8% 15.1% 16.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.