← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University0.43+1.63vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University-0.26+1.75vs Predicted
-
3Hamilton College-1.45+3.04vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-1.30+1.74vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-0.45-0.75vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.87-1.01vs Predicted
-
7Syracuse University-0.99-1.93vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-3.34vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Military Academy-2.58-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63Columbia University0.4331.7%1st Place
-
3.75Fordham University-0.2615.9%1st Place
-
6.04Hamilton College-1.455.1%1st Place
-
5.74SUNY Stony Brook-1.306.2%1st Place
-
4.25SUNY Stony Brook-0.4513.0%1st Place
-
4.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.878.3%1st Place
-
5.07Syracuse University-0.998.3%1st Place
-
4.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7110.2%1st Place
-
7.87U. S. Military Academy-2.581.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eva DeCastro | 31.7% | 24.2% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Robert Upton | 15.9% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
Reid Chapman | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 23.2% | 13.5% |
Sophia Dimont | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 10.8% |
Ernest Glukhov | 13.0% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
Griffin Jones | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 4.5% |
Collin Ross | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 4.9% |
Matthew McCarvill | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
Matthew Knutson | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.