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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+2.59vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+0.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+0.88vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.57+2.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.48-1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.78-1.05vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.74-1.91vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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2.78Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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3.88Tufts University2.400.2%1st Place
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6.8Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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3.72Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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5.19Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 17.6% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Alp Rodopman | 28.3% | 23.1% | 18.9% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 15.1% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 56.3% |
| Julien Guiot | 14.7% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 11.3% |
| Nate Peck | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 21.8% | 11.8% |
| Joey Lark | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 21.0% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.