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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+2.61vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.57+4.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.74+1.04vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50-1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.78-1.08vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.59-1.67vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.04-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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6.82Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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3.68Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.33Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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2.73Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 15.6% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 17.6% | 56.9% |
| Talia Toland | 14.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Nate Peck | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 10.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 14.3% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Pearson | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 10.0% |
| Joey Lark | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 15.8% |
| Alp Rodopman | 29.4% | 24.4% | 18.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.