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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+2.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+1.29vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78+0.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.52+0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.74-1.40vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.57-0.40vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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3.29Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.45Tufts University2.400.2%1st Place
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4.61University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.08Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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6.6Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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5.17Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 21.4% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Jonas Nelle | 21.3% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Talia Toland | 19.7% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 8.5% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 12.7% |
| Nate Peck | 10.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 9.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 50.8% |
| Caroline King | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 21.5% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.