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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+2.16vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+1.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+0.47vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78-0.44vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.74-2.31vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.57-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.3Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.09Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.21Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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6.52Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 22.7% | 22.0% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Julien Guiot | 20.8% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Talia Toland | 18.8% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 13.7% |
| Christopher Pearson | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 7.2% |
| Caroline King | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 17.3% |
| Nate Peck | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 10.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.