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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+2.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.48+0.28vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+1.32vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.52+0.10vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.57+0.53vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50-3.66vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.74-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Tufts University2.400.2%1st Place
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4.57University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.28Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.32Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.1Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.53Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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3.34Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 19.0% | 22.5% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Pearson | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Julien Guiot | 21.3% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Caroline King | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 21.8% | 17.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 13.5% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 47.6% |
| Jonas Nelle | 21.7% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Nate Peck | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.