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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.29+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+2.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.48+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.74+0.69vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50-1.73vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.79-1.45vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39-1.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.57-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Tufts University2.290.2%1st Place
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4.66University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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3.27Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.55Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.38Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bram Brakman | 17.7% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Pearson | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 10.3% |
| Julien Guiot | 21.5% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Nate Peck | 10.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 8.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 20.4% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Leyla Senocak | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 8.9% |
| Caroline King | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 19.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.