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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.29+2.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+1.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.79+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.74+0.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.78-1.42vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39-1.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.57-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Tufts University2.290.2%1st Place
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3.32Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.58Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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3.29Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.38Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.58Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bram Brakman | 18.8% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Julien Guiot | 21.5% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Leyla Senocak | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 8.6% |
| Nate Peck | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 9.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 20.4% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Pearson | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 9.7% |
| Caroline King | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 21.1% | 19.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 20.3% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.