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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+4.43vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.60vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.01vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.63+4.51vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+5.07vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+2.27vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58+1.55vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+0.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.73vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-3.68vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.59+2.08vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.36-1.89vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.76-5.07vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.46vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.49-5.85vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-5.06vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.12vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland-0.35-0.35vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin0.44-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.43College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.01Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.51Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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11.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.27Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.55George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.73U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.32Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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14.08University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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11.11Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.93Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.94Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.88Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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18.65University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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17.39University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 3.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Grace Howie | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 17.0% | 64.0% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 35.4% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.