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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut2.51+3.60vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.81+4.32vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.81+0.98vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.43+0.90vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.12+0.54vs Predicted
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6Amherst College2.01-0.19vs Predicted
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7Williams College1.47-0.03vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.85-1.92vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University1.35-1.42vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.49-2.99vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.39-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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6.32University of New Hampshire1.810.1%1st Place
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3.98Maine Maritime Academy2.810.2%1st Place
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4.9Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.54Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.81Amherst College2.010.1%1st Place
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6.97Williams College1.470.1%1st Place
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6.08Middlebury College1.850.1%1st Place
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7.58Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.01Wesleyan University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.2McGill University1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Andrew | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Neal Drake | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% |
| Christopher Poole | 17.1% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Tyler Black | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.8% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 20.8% |
| Molly Haley | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.5% |
| Wesley Yland | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.