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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University-0.26+2.59vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.43+0.54vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.45+0.92vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.87+0.81vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.97+1.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-1.58vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.37+0.56vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-1.45-2.26vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-1.30-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Fordham University-0.2617.3%1st Place
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2.54Columbia University0.4331.7%1st Place
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3.92SUNY Stony Brook-0.4514.0%1st Place
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4.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.878.6%1st Place
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6.87Syracuse University-1.972.9%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7111.4%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Military Academy-2.371.5%1st Place
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5.74Hamilton College-1.456.0%1st Place
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5.54SUNY Stony Brook-1.306.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Upton | 17.3% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Eva DeCastro | 31.7% | 26.2% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 14.0% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Griffin Jones | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Heath Megnin | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 23.8% | 28.5% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 11.4% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 46.9% |
| Reid Chapman | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 9.3% |
| Sophia Dimont | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.