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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+7.91vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+7.57vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+6.89vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.22vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+1.42vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.64vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+3.43vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+0.83vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-2.64vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.01vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-1.93vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-1.01vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-0.51vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.35+4.73vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-5.20vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.44+1.18vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.18-9.94vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.59-4.07vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy2.14-7.39vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.14-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.57Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.89George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.42College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.43Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.99Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.49Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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18.73University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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17.18University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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13.93University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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11.61U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Grace Howie | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 16.2% | 64.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 11.4% | 35.2% | 25.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.