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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+8.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+5.20vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.31vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+6.18vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.45vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14+5.80vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.63+2.91vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-1.68vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+0.62vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-0.19vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-0.20vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04+0.43vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77-3.73vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.76-5.07vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.31vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-7.01vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.20vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.59-4.02vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.44-1.71vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.35-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.2Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.8Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.91Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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6.32College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.62George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.8Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.43Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.27Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.93Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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13.98University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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17.29University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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18.74University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Grace Howie | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 3.6% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 35.4% | 27.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 18.8% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.