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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+7.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.15vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.59vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.36+6.81vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.63+4.53vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+0.52vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.93vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.79vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+0.63vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-0.99vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-3.70vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-1.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-2.87vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.34vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.59-1.19vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-7.06vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-5.04vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.15vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.44-1.71vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.35-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.81Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.53Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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6.52College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.01Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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13.81University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.94Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.96Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.85Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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17.29University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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18.74University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 3.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 34.8% | 26.8% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 17.8% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.