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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+7.95vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+4.41vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+6.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+7.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.08vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+6.27vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+3.12vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.63+1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+0.70vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.76vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-4.46vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-1.62vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.18-5.55vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-5.09vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.35+3.59vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.47vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.36-6.39vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.59-4.01vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.44-1.75vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.14-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.22Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.27Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.12George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.34Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.54College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.38Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.91Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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18.59University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.61Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.99University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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17.25University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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11.89Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 16.3% | 63.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 3.1% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 35.2% | 26.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.