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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.36+9.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.16vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.75vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+2.49vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+4.00vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+5.11vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+5.44vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58+1.57vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77-0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.54vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-3.72vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.63-2.22vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.35+5.81vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-4.27vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.76-5.98vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.49-5.84vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.44vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.15vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida1.59-5.20vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin0.44-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.74Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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12.44Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.57George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.91Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.78Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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18.81University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.16Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.85Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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13.8University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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17.39University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Grace Howie | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 17.3% | 65.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 2.4% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 36.2% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.