← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+9.98vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.22vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.76+6.10vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.47vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.18+2.38vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.77+2.95vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.63vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.75+1.25vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.37-2.65vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.54vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.58-1.33vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.04+0.45vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.36-2.50vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.58-4.14vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College2.49-5.00vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida1.59-2.22vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University2.14-5.34vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin0.44-0.85vs Predicted
-
19Stanford University2.63-9.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
-
6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
9.1Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.47University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.38Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
8.95Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
9.25Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
6.35College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
11.54U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
-
9.67University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
12.45Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
10.5Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.86George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.0Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
13.78University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
-
11.66Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
17.15University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
-
9.07Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Grace Howie | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 13.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 58.6% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.