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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+5.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.63+6.12vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+4.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18+0.70vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+1.33vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.16vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+0.13vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04+1.58vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-0.78vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-2.15vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.24vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.44+1.99vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-4.13vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-6.86vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-8.52vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.94-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.12Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.7Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.33Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.58Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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15.99University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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10.87Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.48Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.58University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Grace Howie | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Cailin Considine | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 59.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.