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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+5.20vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+6.56vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+3.77vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+7.16vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.63+3.84vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+4.14vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+2.14vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+0.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.45vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-1.39vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14+0.11vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.73vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.44+3.01vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-4.80vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.08vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.94-4.15vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.60vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.58-9.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.56Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.77Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.16Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.84Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.14Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.14George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.61Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.11Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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16.01University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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9.2Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.85University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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10.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 5.8% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 60.2% |
| Charlotte List | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 8.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.