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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.18+2.77vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University0.54+2.18vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86-0.18vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.07vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.85-1.24vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University-0.33-0.51vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy1.1814.1%1st Place
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4.18Georgetown University0.5412.2%1st Place
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2.82Georgetown University1.8627.3%1st Place
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4.07St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6712.7%1st Place
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3.76St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8514.3%1st Place
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5.49Old Dominion University-0.335.4%1st Place
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3.91George Washington University1.0714.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 14.1% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 8.0% |
| Alexa Shea | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 13.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 27.3% | 22.9% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 12.7% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 12.8% |
| Maisy Sperry | 14.3% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 8.3% |
| Petra Humphrey | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 45.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 14.1% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.