Race 5A

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Poole 17.9% 16.8% 15.6% 12.2% 13.2% 9.6% 6.2% 4.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.7%
Sean Andrew 14.1% 15.1% 13.1% 12.2% 11.4% 9.2% 9.3% 6.6% 5.4% 2.5% 1.1%
Alejandro Bancalari 8.3% 9.2% 10.1% 10.1% 10.9% 10.0% 9.1% 10.9% 9.5% 7.7% 4.2%
Neal Drake 6.8% 6.8% 6.9% 7.7% 7.8% 11.0% 10.7% 11.3% 10.7% 10.3% 10.0%
Tommy Holmberg 14.9% 13.2% 11.9% 12.3% 8.6% 11.8% 7.8% 7.6% 5.7% 4.0% 2.2%
Tyler Black 8.4% 10.2% 8.2% 10.4% 9.8% 9.2% 10.5% 10.1% 7.9% 8.7% 6.6%
Timothy Lorenzen 6.4% 5.4% 5.8% 6.3% 8.3% 8.8% 9.5% 9.1% 12.2% 13.4% 14.8%
Nicholas Dragone 8.5% 6.2% 9.9% 10.1% 9.5% 8.6% 10.3% 10.2% 9.8% 8.7% 8.2%
Andrea Verdeja 4.5% 5.4% 4.7% 6.1% 5.9% 6.8% 8.1% 10.2% 12.3% 15.9% 20.1%
Molly Haley 5.6% 5.7% 7.4% 6.4% 7.5% 7.6% 9.1% 9.8% 11.1% 14.5% 15.3%
Wesley Yland 4.6% 6.0% 6.4% 6.2% 7.1% 7.4% 9.4% 9.9% 12.8% 13.4% 16.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.