Race 5B

stony-brook-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Eva DeCastro 32.2% 24.6% 18.6% 12.2% 7.4% 3.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Robert Upton 15.4% 17.4% 18.1% 14.8% 13.2% 10.4% 7.1% 3.0% 0.6%
Ernest Glukhov 15.3% 14.6% 17.1% 15.5% 14.0% 10.8% 7.5% 4.0% 1.1%
Griffin Jones 9.8% 11.5% 10.8% 14.3% 14.8% 14.1% 13.5% 8.5% 2.9%
Matthew McCarvill 10.9% 11.8% 13.2% 14.5% 15.3% 15.0% 10.8% 6.7% 1.6%
Sophia Dimont 5.9% 6.7% 8.6% 11.3% 11.7% 14.8% 18.0% 15.1% 8.1%
Gabriel Kunze 1.7% 2.4% 1.9% 3.9% 4.2% 7.3% 9.8% 20.0% 48.8%
Reid Chapman 5.6% 5.8% 7.2% 8.0% 12.0% 13.0% 18.1% 19.1% 11.3%
Heath Megnin 3.2% 5.2% 4.3% 5.5% 7.5% 11.6% 13.5% 23.3% 25.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.