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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+8.33vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+4.08vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+7.56vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.70vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14+4.96vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+2.44vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-1.43vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+0.07vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-1.43vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-2.54vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.63-2.73vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.23vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-5.89vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-5.03vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.94-4.17vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-5.54vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.44-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.08College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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8.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.96Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.44Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.07George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.57Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.46Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.97Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.83University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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11.46Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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16.04University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 7.4% |
| Grace Howie | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.