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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+9.41vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.14+8.23vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+1.93vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+1.63vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+2.37vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.63+1.89vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76+0.27vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77-0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-0.67vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-0.91vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-2.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-7.40vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.58-5.19vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-4.15vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.94-4.22vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-5.46vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.44-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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5.93College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.63Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.89Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.27Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.26Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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10.09Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.83Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.81George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.85Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.78University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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11.54Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Grace Howie | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 5.9% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.