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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+8.64vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.42vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+4.76vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+2.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.44vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.62+2.26vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11+3.92vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65-0.12vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16+1.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.50vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73+1.32vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.04-0.84vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-3.90vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-3.05vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-3.35vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.54vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.51-3.96vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.97-6.74vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.26-4.82vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.37-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.76George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.27College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.26Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.92Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.18University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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12.32Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.16Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.1Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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11.65Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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13.04Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.26University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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14.18University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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18.64University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Riley Legault | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 2.4% |
| Macey McCann | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 5.7% |
| Annie Spence | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 8.7% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 9.2% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.