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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+6.55vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+8.29vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+3.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.50vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+3.05vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11+4.63vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+2.11vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+2.83vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.29vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.46vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86+0.77vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.73+0.50vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.62-4.43vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.04-3.16vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.51-1.89vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.97-4.90vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.26-2.86vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.30-8.25vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy2.56-10.59vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.37-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.29University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.41College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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8.05Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.63Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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11.77Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.5Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.57Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.84Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.11Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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14.14University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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9.75Brown University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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18.61University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Paris Henken | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 2.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Macey McCann | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 5.1% |
| Annie Spence | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 8.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Brittney Slook | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 9.8% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.