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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.11+9.53vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+4.26vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+7.43vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.58vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.34vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+2.16vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.97+4.56vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.04+2.61vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86+2.58vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-1.27vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.62-2.69vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.30-2.11vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-1.63vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.56vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.51-1.89vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.26-1.83vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.73-4.90vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.76-10.33vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland-0.37-0.48vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-10.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.53Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.43University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.61Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.58Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.73Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.31Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.89Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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13.11Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.17University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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12.1Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.67George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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18.52University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Paris Henken | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Annie Spence | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Macey McCann | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Brittney Slook | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 20.4% | 8.4% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Riley Legault | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 9.9% | 70.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.